Oxford, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

502
FXUS64 KBMX 242358
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
658 PM CDT Sun May 24 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 657 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2026

- Showers and thunderstorms are forecast in multiple waves
  throughout the week. High rainfall rates create a risk for
  isolated flash flooding over the coming days.

- A low risk remains for strong thunderstorms with gusty winds.

- Patchy fog will develop overnight, resulting in lower
  visibility. Use caution.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 1208 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2026

A mid-level trough axis centered just to the west of Alabama will
continue to promote deep southerly flow across the Gulf Coast
region. High vertical moisture content along with lift from
passing impulses within the trough, and weak to occasionally
moderate instability, will cause multiple waves of showers and
thunderstorms through the week.

Forthcoming high rainfall rates, on top of already accumulated
rainfall, will pose a risk for isolated flash flooding over the
coming days. Today`s threat seems most focused from near
Birmingham to points northeast and east. This is due to a compact
area of low pressure moving across central Alabama today,
providing a focus and enhancement of heavy rainfall, which is
modeled to fill in as it begins to impact urban and terrain areas
across the aforementioned axis. While a relative lull is expected
tonight (activity becoming more isolated), another batch of heavy
showers and thunderstorms is expected on Monday; this may require
either an extension of the current Flood Watch or the issuance of
a new one, especially if a favored corridor of heavy rainfall can
be pinpointed amongst the scattering of activity.

Deep-layer flow is on the weak side through the week, though any
periodic enhancement timed with peak instability and/or outflow
could pose a low risk for thunderstorms with gusty winds. For
today, a level 1 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms with
damaging wind gusts is highlighted for areas along and east of
Interstate 65, though this threat is being hampered by widespread
cloudiness and precipitation.

89^GSatterwhite

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 657 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2026

The active weather pattern is set to continue. Tonight,
precipitation will become isolated, but flight conditions will be
poor, with ceilings falling into the IFR-LIFR range and patchy
MVFR fog developing. Similar conditions, including showers and
thunderstorms categorized as MVFR-IFR, are forecast for Monday.
The majority of this activity will begin after 15Z, with peak
coverage expected after 18Z, moving from south to north.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

A persistent weather pattern will produce scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms each day this week. As a result, there
are no fire weather concerns.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     67  79  64  80 /  50  80  70  90
Anniston    67  78  65  80 /  50  90  70  90
Birmingham  68  80  66  80 /  40  80  70  90
Tuscaloosa  69  81  67  81 /  40  80  70  90
Calera      68  80  66  81 /  40  80  70  90
Auburn      68  78  67  80 /  70  90  60  90
Montgomery  69  79  67  80 /  60  90  50 100
Troy        69  79  67  81 /  70  90  40  90

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...89^GSatterwhite
AVIATION...16